Si tenemos un tamaño de muestra pequeño, ¿influirá mucho la distribución previa en la distribución posterior?
                    
                        bayesian
                                sample-size
                                prior
                                
                    
                    
                        toby j
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Respuestas:
Yes. The posterior distribution for a parameterθ , given a data set X  can be written as 
or, as is more commonly displayed on the log scale,
The log-likelihood,L(θ;X)=log(p(X|θ)) , scales with the sample size, since it is a function of the data, while the prior density does not. Therefore, as the sample size increases, the absolute value of L(θ;X)  is getting larger while log(p(θ))  stays fixed (for a fixed value of θ ), thus the sum L(θ;X)+log(p(θ))  becomes more heavily influenced by L(θ;X)  as the sample size increases. 
Therefore, to directly answer your question - the prior distribution becomes less and less relevant as it becomes outweighed by the likelihood. So, for a small sample size, the prior distribution plays a much larger role. This agrees with intuition since, you'd expect that prior specifications would play a larger role when there isn't much data available to disprove them whereas, if the sample size is very large, the signal present in the data will outweigh whatever a priori beliefs were put into the model.
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Here is an attempt to illustrate the last paragraph in Macro's excellent (+1) answer. It shows two priors for the parameterp  in the Binomial(n,p)  distribution. For a few different n , the posterior distributions are shown when x=n/2  has been observed. As n  grows, both posteriors become more and more concentrated around 1/2 .
Forn=2  the difference is quite big, but for n=50  there is virtually no difference.
The two priors below areBeta(1/2,1/2)  (black) and Beta(2,2)  (red). The posteriors have the same colours as the priors that they are derived from.
(Note that for many other models and other priors,n=50  won't be enough for the prior not to matter!)
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